Prosper.com now makes the link between loans and listings available. With this new feature now everyone can see the status of the loan payments of every borrower. On the borrower profile page there is now a "Loans" tab:
Previously only lenders invested in a loan could directly see, which status it had. All others had to use 3rd party tools like Wiseclerk.com. Those had to program their own matching algorithms since no key matching loans to listings was published by Prosper.
Prosper has always been the p2p lending service that made most data available about its market.
I will have to look into which parts of Wiseclerk.com I need to rebuild to make use of the new information linking listings to loans.
Further improvements that Prosper announced include reporting to Transunion and enabling borrowers to repay directly using money in their Prosper account.
So far the default rate for Kiva has been 0.17% on a loan volume of $9.965.000 (4.4% of loans are one month late). When compared to Prosper.com default rates, that is an extremly good result. So far the MRI on Kiva with the worst performance is REDC Bulgaria, followed by an MRI that organizes loans to people in Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania.
Another interesting figure: The average time a listing is online at Kiva.org until it is fully funded is 1.24 days.
The German site for social lending Smava.de today allowed borrowers of the lower credit grades G and H to participate. Previously only borrowers of credit grades A through F could participate. According to information published by Smava, 80% of the German population have credit grades in the range A-F, while credit grade G accounts for 10% and credit grade H accounts for 5% of the population.
However Smava, so far has experienced not one late payment. Three payment cycles have been completed with 100% of borrowers paying on time.
Other changes at the Smava site today included a lower minimum bid of 250 Euro (down from 500 Euro) and a higher interest rate ceiling (maximum interest rate 18%; up from 15%).
If you invest at Prosper.com lenders should not need your money for the next 3 years. Because at the moment all loans have 36 month terms. And – apart from the chance that the borrower might select to pay back the loan early – lenders can not withdraw money still loaned early (this does not apply to interest and monthly repayments).
Lenders have called for a secondary market as early as February 2006.
What is "secondary market"?
The idea is that a lender can sell his investment in a loan to another lender who buys it. It could work similar to trading bonds.
Suppose a lender have invested $100 in a AA loan at 12% interest, it is current and has still 18 month to run. Depending on the assessment of the buyers it could sell for a premium, that means the buyer pays the lender a price above $100 e.g. $102 or it could sell at a discount below $100 e.g. $97.
A premium would occur if buyer demand is strong, assessing that the 12% (and the other loan specifics) are an above average market deal. A discount could occur if the loan is assessed by the buyers as below average (on interest rate or other loan specifics) or if the risk for default is impacting (e.g. the loan is already late).
Advantages
Aside from liquidity advantages a secondary market would offer more options for lenders. Since some loans fail first payment a lender might choose to build his portfolio by buying loans that have made their first three payments and are current. It even seems possibly that loans would be packaged (like mortages) and auctioned off. This way a lender could specialize in picking loans and then reselling them after several month – reselling risk (and living of his reputation as in delivering good picks – okay sounds a little farfetched, I admit).
Will the Prosper secondary market launch?
In a webinar in June 2007 there was the first mention by Prosper, that they are working on a secondary market. (Source: Tom) However this could happen soon … or in x years as far as I can tell.
Zopaconfirmed that a secondary market is in their decelopment plans.
The other (international) p2p lending platforms are not even close to implementing secondary market functions.
Since June Prosper.com runs a referral program that allows Prosper members to refer new lenders or borrowers.
How does it work?
Prosper members are encouraged to put up text links, buttons or banners on their websites that advertise for Prosper. If someone clicks on that link, a tracking parameter included in the link format allows Prosper to detect which Prosper member refered the surfer. Should the surfer sign up the member who referred him will earn:
in case of a new borrower: 0.5% of the loan amount (up to $125) when the first monthly payment clears
in case of a new lender: $25 as soon as the first loan bidded on originates
Example: If you click on one of the following buttons and sign up as a new Prosper members I am eligable to earn the referral bonus if you get active:
Up to August 31st there is a huge incentive since new lenders that sign up through the referral program get credited $25 as well to their account.
Does it work?
Although I do not heavily use the Prosper referral links on Wiseclerk.com and considering that most of the Wiseclerk audience are already Prosper users before they discover Wiseclerk, I did have several members sign up through my referral links in the past weeks. Every time somebody signs up through my link, I get an email with the new member's screenname. Most are still in the status 'Registered' meaning after signup they did not take any further steps yet to become a lender or borrower. One became or borrower, but so far failed to receive a loan.
More interesting ways to use referrer links
Wondering how the referral links can be turned from pure ads to a widget that offers additional information and is spread through viral marketing methods. Kevin at Rateladder.com has created a tool that creates code for borrowers to promote their listing on MySpace or other webpages. The tool creates an ad for the borrower listing, showing the title, the photo, the interest rate and the percentage funded. It calls for action through a 'Bid Now' button. Cleary of interest to borrowers. And Kevin profits, since he incorporated his referral links. Therefore should somebody wishing to bid sign up as a lender, he can profit.
The Prosper referral program compared to the referral programs of other p2p lending services
British Zopapays members 30 pounds for refering an active lender or borrower. This scheme exists since summer 2006 and occassionaly the bonus was increased to 50 pounds for a limited time. German Smava.de pays members 25 Euro for referring an active lender or borrower. Dutch Boober.nl awards points for sucessful referral of lenders. These can be exchanged for merchandise, e.g. for 3 referred lenders a member can earn an iPod. As far as I am aware of Lendingclub does not (yet) have an referral program. (Correct me if necessary!). It will be interesting to see if and what new entrants like Communitylend.com and Ireloans.com will offer for referring new users.
The next step for even more growth
Currently all referral programs mentioned above have one thing in common. They are open only to existing members of the p2p lending services. Assuming they are successful and the p2p lending serves are seeking opportunities to enable even faster growth then the next step could be to start an affiliate program through networks like Zanox, CJ or Affilinet.
This would allow (semi-)professional internet marketeers to promote the offers. This step would offer two advantages:
Huge exposure of the ads on many websites. Experienced marketeers promoting the offers (still on pay for performance base – no untargeted advertising spendings)
Simply by beeing listed many people will sign up for themselves instead of marketing the offer to others.
The only downside are the costs which are typically 30 percent of transaction value. In case of Prosper seeking lender referrals this would add up to $32.5 (25 for the marketeer plus $7.5 for the affiliate network).
Every once in a while, I read a post in the Prosper forums that provides lots of insights. Today I found this post interesting where several lenders debate the advantages and disadvantages of investing in Prosper.com and long-term lenders share their opinion. Suggested reading for new lenders.
