Chart 1: Screenshot of account balance
Distribution of loans on credit grade ranges
My investment is spread out over about 350 loan parts (a bit less loans as sometimes I have 2 or 3 bids in one loan). 5,435 Euro (83%) is invested in top credit grade (“1000”) loans. 780 Euro (12%) in “900” grade loans. And the remainder are experimental bids in “600”-“800” grade loans.
Chart 2: Screenshot of loan status
As the above chart shows 3 loans with a total of 50 Euro amount (0.8%) are more than 60 days overdue. Loans in the amount of 380 Euro (6.3%) are overdue. Note that the 380 Euro counts the whole principal of these loans when actually only a fraction of this was due for payment and is in fact overdue.
So far everything looks good. Many of the overdue loans pay after a few days and get current again. Even if all 60 days overdue loans would default, that would still be a good deal compared to the interest earned so far. Isepankur is working on the collection of the loans and for the three overdue loans court cases have been filed. I’ll see how that goes.
Chart 3: Sample of collection process of one of the loans in arrears
Return of Invest
Currently Isepankur shows me a 18.9% ROI. As chart 4 shows the ROI figure hoovered around 19% over the past weeks. In my own calculations, using XIRR in Excel, I currently get a 10.5% ROI.
Chart 4
Current state
Up to the beginning of January it was no problem to invest my funds fast (compare lower part of chart 4). Since then lender money influx hugely outpaces borrower supply. Due to the structure of bidding mechanism this did not result in sinking interest rates (average interest rate of my successful bids is 26%) but rather in more seldom possibilities to bid. Isepankur reacted to the circumstances by announcing a limit of 500 Euro for the maximum amount any lender may bid on any loan and introducing a lender queue. This has a somewhat British touch to me – I always picture the lines at a bus station. Once my automated bidding profiles made a bid I have to step back to the end of the line and patiently wait my turn to make the next bid. The rationing has led to more equal opportunities but it is still hard to invest more funds.
I am currently reinvesting money coming from the repayments. The interface and processes themselves are smooth and so far I am happy with my results.